GOLD ALSABAEK
14
Apr
Gold maintained its positive performance at the start of Tuesday's European session, trading near $4,765 an ounce and gaining approximately 0.50% on the day. Despite the breakdown of peace talks between the United States and Iran over the weekend, markets remain optimistic about the continuation of the diplomatic process and the possibility of resuming negotiations in the near future. In this context, the US dollar is facing pressure due to the uncertainty surrounding the direction of monetary policy at the US Federal Reserve, which supports gold and pushes it to continue recovering from its recent levels below $4,650. Statements by US Vice President J.D. Vance, characterized by cautious optimism regarding the negotiations with Iran, also contributed to increased risk appetite. In an interview with Fox News, he indicated that tangible progress had been made, with the possibility of reaching a comprehensive agreement if Iran demonstrated greater flexibility in the next phase. This optimism is reflected positively in market sentiment and reduces the strength of the dollar as a safe haven currency, thus enhancing the attractiveness of commodities denominated in it, most notably gold. Conversely, inflationary concerns remain a major pressure factor, driven by rising energy prices resulting from escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Recent data showed that US inflation rose at its fastest pace in nearly four years during March, fueled by higher energy prices, reinforcing expectations that monetary policy will remain tight for an extended period. However, CME Group’s FedWatch tool indicates a 30% probability of a 25-basis-point interest rate cut in December, which limits the dollar’s gains and supports gold as a non-yielding asset. Due to these factors, gold prices rose to about $4,777 an ounce in recent hours, but this rise still lacks strong momentum, given the continued tensions in the Strait of Hormuz. Geopolitical risks remain a key factor in the markets, helping to limit the sharp decline of the dollar, while at the same time restricting gold's ability to achieve strong and sustainable gains.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
13
Apr
Gold begins the new week on a negative note, as the collapse of peace talks between the United States and Iran strengthens the US dollar. However, the possibility of a diplomatic solution remains open, limiting the dollar's gains and providing some support for the precious metal. Conversely, high oil prices are fueling inflationary concerns and expectations of tighter monetary policy, which could limit gold's gains. Gold is struggling to capitalize on its rebound from the $4632-$4633 area, its lowest level in four days, and continues its downward trend as the European session begins. Reports indicate that regional powers are working to bring the US and Iran back to the negotiating table within days, following the recent talks ending without an agreement. This is limiting the dollar's ability to make further gains and providing some support for gold. However, the lack of buying momentum and persistent negative fundamental pressures warrant caution before anticipating any significant rally in the precious metal. Meanwhile, US crude oil (WTI) prices rose again to $105 a barrel, driven by geopolitical developments. This coincided with data showing that US inflation in March surged at its fastest pace in nearly four years, with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rising 0.9% month-on-month and 3.3% year-on-year. This prompted investors to reduce their bets on interest rate cuts this year and shift towards expectations of rate hikes, leading to higher US Treasury yields and a stronger dollar. In light of these data, gold prices remain under pressure, amid growing expectations of tighter monetary policy, which calls for caution before taking strong buying positions in the near term.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
08
Apr
Gold prices rose during trading on Wednesday, supported by a reassessment by markets of geopolitical risks following US President Donald Trump's announcement of a two-week suspension of military operations against Iran. Gold futures for June delivery rose 3.6%, or $169.70, to $4,854.40 an ounce, after touching $4,888 during trading. The spot price of gold also rose by 2.7% to $4,832.53 per ounce, while silver climbed by about 6.2% to trade at $77.518 per ounce. In contrast, the US dollar index—which measures the currency’s performance against a basket of six major currencies—fell by more than 1% to 98.82 points. Silver futures for May delivery rose 7.6% to $77.47 an ounce, platinum climbed 4.3% to $2,045.73, and palladium rose 5.5% to $1,552.98. Markets are awaiting the release of the minutes from the Federal Reserve's March monetary policy meeting later today, looking for further clues about the direction of monetary policy in the United States.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
08
Apr
Gold prices rose above $4,800 an ounce, reaching around $4,815 during early Asian trading on Wednesday. This surge came as investors turned to buying following Donald Trump's announcement of a two-week postponement of the attack on Iran. Trump explained in a post that the decision came after a request from Pakistan, which is playing a mediating role between the United States and Iran, for an additional grace period and a temporary halt to the escalation, as part of an effort to end the oil supply shutdown crisis in the Gulf. Meanwhile, oil prices have risen sharply as tensions have escalated, increasing concerns about supply. Higher energy costs are fueling inflation, which limits central banks' ability to cut interest rates. Although gold is considered a safe haven during times of geopolitical tension, rising interest rates reduce its appeal as it does not generate a return. Investors are awaiting the release of the minutes from the Federal Reserve's March meeting, scheduled for Wednesday, for clues about the future path of monetary policy.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
03
Apr
Stock markets in the United States, Europe, Hong Kong, Singapore, and Australia are closed on Friday for the Good Friday holiday, while trading continues in Japan and China. As for the Easter holiday, which falls on Sunday, April 5, the markets are naturally closed due to it being a weekend holiday. It is worth noting that Easter Monday, April 6, is not a holiday in the US markets, unlike European markets which remain closed on that day. In Europe and the UK, the holiday is longer, with markets closed for four consecutive days from Friday to Monday. The Hong Kong Stock Exchange is experiencing one of its longest closures, remaining closed on Tuesday, April 7, as compensation for the Qingming Festival holiday. In commodity markets such as oil and gold, a full closure is implemented by the Chicago Mercantile Exchange on Friday, with trading ending on Thursday at its usual time, and Thursday's closing prices being adopted as the official settlement prices for the following day.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
01
Apr
Gold prices held onto their gains during Wednesday's trading, trading above $4,700 an ounce, near their highest levels in about two weeks, supported by a decline in the US dollar amid signs of possible easing of tensions in the Middle East. The support for the yellow metal came after statements by US President Donald Trump indicating the possibility of ending military operations within a period of two to three weeks, which affected the strength of the dollar and provided additional support for gold. In contrast, markets continue to face mixed signals, as US military moves in the region, including the strengthening of the military presence, have fueled concerns about the widening scope of the conflict, which has been reflected in higher oil prices and increased inflationary pressures. These developments have reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve will continue its tight monetary policy, limiting the dollar's decline and simultaneously curbing gold's gains, given that it is a non-yielding asset. Markets are awaiting a highly anticipated speech by the US president, along with the release of important economic data in the United States, including the ADP private sector jobs report, retail sales, and the manufacturing purchasing managers' index, which should provide further indications of economic trends and monetary policy. Attention is also turning to the US jobs report (NFP) due at the end of the week, which is one of the most important indicators affecting market movements. Geopolitical developments remain the most prominent factor influencing gold prices during the current phase, amid continued volatility and uncertainty in global markets.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
30
Mar
Gold prices saw a modest rise at the start of the week, supported by dip buying and a slight decline in the US dollar, but gains remained limited amid rising expectations of a global interest rate hike. Gold traded near $4,550 an ounce after touching $4,420 during the session, amid continued pressure from tight monetary policies that reduce the appeal of the yellow metal as a non-yielding asset. Conversely, escalating geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Middle East, and rising energy prices have contributed to supporting demand for gold as a safe haven, amid growing concerns about a return of inflationary pressures globally. Forecasts indicate that the continued strength of the dollar and rising yields may limit any strong rise in gold in the near term, as markets await US economic data and statements from central bank officials to determine the next direction of prices.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
27
Mar
Gold prices rose during trading on Friday, regaining the $4,500 per ounce level, supported by the decline of the US dollar, amid continued geopolitical tensions related to the conflict between the United States and Iran, which continue to cast a shadow over global markets and increase volatility. The yellow metal recorded a rise of more than 3% to reach about $4,527 per ounce, after it had fallen by about 2.75% in the previous session, benefiting from a limited decline in the US currency after it had touched high levels earlier. In contrast, US economic data presented a mixed picture, with consumer confidence falling to 53.3 points compared to expectations of 54 points, and future consumer expectations declining, while short-term inflation expectations rose to 3.8%, reflecting continued inflationary pressures. On the geopolitical front, the US president announced a postponement of military strikes on Iranian energy facilities for an additional ten days, while talks continued. However, this move did not fully calm the markets, given the continued uncertainty about the future of the conflict. Reports also indicated the possibility of a strengthened military presence in the region, which keeps the possibility of escalation alive if diplomatic efforts fail, further increasing the state of anticipation in global markets. In a related context, the Strait of Hormuz remains a focal point in the crisis, with restrictions on it continuing, which keeps oil prices high and increases concerns about inflation, prompting markets to reprice interest rate expectations towards further tightening by major central banks. This was reflected in the rise in US Treasury yields, with the yield on 10-year bonds approaching 4.45%, the highest level since July 2025, putting pressure on gold as a non-yielding asset. Despite the support gold receives from the weakening dollar and geopolitical tensions, the strength of the US currency and rising yields are limiting its gains, especially with increasing expectations that interest rates will remain high for a longer period. Technically, prices are showing some stability after falling to their lowest levels in four months, but the overall trend is still bearish, with prices remaining below key resistance levels, while the $4,300 level represents important support in the near term, followed by the $4,100 level as a key support level.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
27
Mar
Gold prices rose above $4,400 an ounce on Friday, after a sharp decline in the previous session, following US President Donald Trump's decision to extend the deadline given to Iran to reach an agreement to end the war. Trump announced he would refrain from targeting Iranian energy facilities until April 6, a move that brought some calm to markets after nearly a month of escalating tensions. He also noted that Iran had allowed a number of oil tankers to pass through the Strait of Hormuz this week, describing it as a positive gesture. In response, Iran reiterated its rejection of the multi-point American proposal to end the conflict and presented its own conditions, which included recognition of its control over the Strait of Hormuz. Gold had fallen by about 3% during Thursday's session, amid continued doubts about the possibility of reaching a ceasefire agreement in the near term. More broadly, gold and other metals have come under strong selling pressure recently, with rising energy prices and escalating tensions in the Middle East fueling inflation fears and increasing expectations of interest rate hikes by major central banks. 📌 Summary Gold rose above $4,400, supported by the postponement of escalation, but continued uncertainty, inflation fears, and expectations of interest rate hikes are still weighing on the overall price trend.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
25
Mar
Gold prices rose sharply on Wednesday, supported by a weaker US dollar amid news of a US plan to end the conflict in the Middle East, which helped ease concerns about rising inflation. Gold futures for April delivery rose 3.65%, or $161.20, to $4,562.10 an ounce, while the spot price of gold climbed 1.8% to $4,555.47 an ounce. Silver also recorded notable gains, with its spot price rising by about 2.75% to reach $73.18 per ounce, while futures contracts for May delivery climbed by 4.75% to reach $72.87 per ounce. Conversely, the US dollar index fell by 0.2% to 99.29 points, boosting the appeal of gold and precious metals for investors. As for other metals, platinum prices rose 1.3% to $1,954.52, while palladium prices fell 0.2% to $1,437.8. 📌 Summary The rise in gold was driven by a weaker dollar and hopes for easing tensions, which supported demand for precious metals despite ongoing challenges related to inflation.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
25
Mar
Gold prices rose more than 2% to near $4,600 an ounce on Wednesday, extending gains for a second consecutive session, amid growing hopes for a de-escalation of the ongoing conflict in the Middle East. Gold had previously fallen by about 25% from its peak in March, affected by rising energy prices as a result of the war with Iran, which fueled inflation fears and increased expectations that major central banks would raise interest rates during the year. In this context, a Federal Reserve official indicated that interest rates may need to remain high for a longer period to control inflation. 📌 Summary Gold rose above $4,600, supported by hopes of easing tensions, but inflation concerns and the continuation of tight monetary policy are still limiting its gains.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
23
Mar
US President Donald Trump announced on Monday the postponement of any planned military strikes against power plants and energy infrastructure in Iran, following what he described as good and productive talks aimed at reaching a comprehensive solution to the crisis in the Middle East. Trump explained that he had instructed the Department of Defense to suspend all military operations for five days, with the decision to be contingent on the outcome of negotiations taking place during this period. 📊 Market reaction Markets reacted sharply to the announcement, with oil prices falling significantly, including a nearly 8% drop in US crude to trade near $90 a barrel, amid easing concerns about supply disruptions. The US dollar also came under selling pressure, causing its index to fall below the 99.50 level. In contrast, gold recovered strongly from its 2026 lows near $4,100, rising again above $4,400 an ounce. 📌 Summary The decision to postpone the strikes temporarily eased tensions, which was reflected in a drop in oil and the dollar, while gold rebounded, as the outcome of negotiations awaited in the coming days.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
23
Mar
Brent crude futures fell by more than 10% to around $100 a barrel during trading on Monday, following signs of easing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. This decline came after US President Donald Trump announced a five-day suspension of planned strikes against Iran's energy infrastructure, a move aimed at giving diplomatic efforts a chance. Trump explained that the decision came after what he described as constructive talks with Iran over the past two days, with negotiations continuing this week in an attempt to contain the crisis. This development helped to calm market fears about supply disruptions, especially after recent heightened concerns over a US deadline for reopening the Strait of Hormuz, one of the world's most vital oil shipping lanes. Markets reacted swiftly to the news, with concerns about further disruptions to energy infrastructure easing, while investors awaited confirmation that diplomatic efforts would succeed in reopening the strait sustainably. 📌 Summary Oil prices fell sharply as tensions eased temporarily, amid hopes that negotiations would help stabilize supplies and contain the crisis in the region.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
23
Mar
Gold prices fell by about 8% to around $4,100 an ounce on Monday, hitting their lowest level in four months, amid escalating tensions in the Middle East and rising inflation fears. Over the past week, gold lost more than 10% of its value, as rising oil prices increased inflationary pressures, prompting markets to reduce expectations of interest rate cuts and even price in the possibility of a prolonged freeze or even a rate hike by major central banks. Investors are increasingly betting on the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by the end of the year, given the continued inflationary pressures. Meanwhile, major central banks such as the European Central Bank, the Bank of England, and the Bank of Japan kept interest rates unchanged, but indicated their readiness to tighten monetary policy if inflationary pressures persist. Some economies are also facing increasing pressure to boost liquidity, including the potential sale of gold, to offset the effects of war, which is adding to the downward pressure on the metal's price. 📌 Summary Gold is falling to near $4,100 under pressure from escalating tensions, inflation fears, and rising expectations of interest rate hikes, keeping the near-term outlook negative.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
23
Mar
The crisis in the Middle East deepened as tensions between the United States and Iran escalated, leading to a surge in safe-haven flows across global financial markets at the start of the week, amid a lack of significant economic data. In the markets, gold continued its sharp losses, falling below $4,200 an ounce, its lowest level since December, after losing about 10% last week, with a further decline of nearly 7% during today's trading. In contrast, oil prices rose significantly, approaching $100 a barrel, fueled by concerns about supply disruptions in the region. The US dollar also benefited from safe-haven flows, with its index rising to around 99.80 points, while stock markets came under clear pressure as major indices declined. 📌 Summary Global markets are experiencing heightened tension as the crisis in the Middle East escalates, with oil prices and the dollar rising as safe havens, while gold is under strong pressure and hitting its lowest level this year amid inflation fears and tighter monetary policy.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
21
Mar
Gold prices fell by about 3% to $4,500 an ounce on Friday, heading for their biggest weekly loss since 1983, amid escalating geopolitical tensions and rising inflation expectations. This sharp decline came as tensions in the Middle East involving Iran, the United States, and Israel escalated, leading to a significant rise in energy prices and diminishing hopes for an imminent interest rate cut. Gold came under increasing pressure after reports that the Pentagon planned to deploy warships and thousands of Marines to the region, prompting traders to price in a 50% probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by October, amid concerns that inflation could persist for longer. Since tensions escalated last month, gold has continued to record consecutive weekly losses, affected by rising US Treasury yields and a strong dollar, along with profit-taking and investors liquidating their positions to offset losses in other markets. Earlier this week, major central banks, including the Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, Bank of England and Bank of Japan, kept interest rates unchanged, but indicated their readiness to tighten monetary policy if inflationary pressures persist. 📌 Summary Gold is under strong pressure near the $4,500 level, heading for its worst weekly performance in decades, driven by escalating tensions, rising energy prices, and increasing expectations of tighter monetary policy.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
21
Mar
The US Dollar Index (DXY) rose slightly to around 99.3 points during trading on Friday, after falling 0.8% in the previous session, amid continued tensions related to Iran and declining prospects for a quick resolution to the crisis. This limited improvement in the dollar's performance came despite continued volatility in oil prices, which remained near their highest levels since 2022, increasing concerns about their impact on inflation, especially at a time when central banks are adopting a more cautious and stringent approach. In this context, the Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged at its last meeting, citing continued uncertainty about the economic impact of geopolitical tensions, along with warnings of upside risks to inflation. Despite this, the bank's projections still indicate the possibility of one rate cut this year. The US dollar saw gains against a number of major currencies, most notably against the Japanese yen, amid the gap between central bank policies. Despite its rise on Friday, the dollar is still on track to record a weekly loss of nearly 1%, as global markets remain on edge regarding geopolitical developments and the course of monetary policy. 📌 Summary The dollar is rising slightly, supported by global tensions, but remains under pressure on a weekly basis, amid oil volatility, increasing uncertainty about inflation, and central bank decisions.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
11
Mar
Gold prices fell during Wednesday's trading session, moving below $5,200 an ounce during the European session, after the yellow metal pared some of its earlier gains, but it still maintains its proximity to its highest levels in a week. This slight decline came despite continued demand for gold as a safe haven amid escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, and the continued presence of geopolitical anxiety in the markets.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
09
Mar
Gold prices fell to around $5,100 an ounce on Monday morning, as a stronger US dollar and declining expectations of an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve System offset demand for gold as a safe haven amid escalating conflict in the Middle East. In contrast, oil prices rose to more than $100 a barrel for the first time since 2022, as the war with Iran entered its second week, raising concerns about a return of global inflation.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
28
Feb
Gold rose to $5,280, its highest level in a month, extending its gains for a seventh consecutive month, supported by escalating geopolitical tensions and strong US inflation data that heightened market anxiety.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
23
Feb
Gold continues its upward trend for the fourth consecutive day, supported by a combination of fundamental factors, most notably escalating trade concerns and geopolitical tensions, along with a decline in the US dollar and increasing bets on interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. Gold hit a new one-month high in Monday's trading before pausing for breath, but the underlying support reinforces the likelihood of continued upward movement. Renewed trade war fears, coupled with escalating tensions in the Middle East, have boosted demand for gold as a safe haven. Following a Supreme Court ruling against his previous sweeping tariffs, US President Donald Trump announced a new tariff framework, imposing a new 15% global tariff on imports into the United States—the maximum rate legally permitted. This decision raised concerns about retaliatory measures and potential negative economic impacts due to disruptions in global supply chains, dampening risk appetite and boosting demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
21
Feb
On Saturday, US President Donald Trump announced an immediate increase in global tariffs imposed on a number of countries from 10% to 15%. The United States experienced significant economic turmoil on Friday following the Supreme Court's decision to overturn tariffs imposed by Trump on several countries last April. The ruling had an immediate impact on markets, including stocks, bonds, and metals, amid uncertainty regarding how the revenue collected from those tariffs would be reimbursed. In a post on his platform “Truth Social,” Trump explained that the decision to raise the new tariffs came in response to the Supreme Court ruling regarding the legality of some previous tariffs.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
21
Feb
Gold jumped above $5,090 an ounce on Friday, testing its highest level in a month, after a landmark ruling by the Supreme Court of the United States against global tariffs triggered sharp swings and a rush toward safe-haven assets. Although the court overturned the reciprocal tariffs, the initial decline in the US dollar quickly dissipated after President Donald Trump pledged to impose new 10% global tariffs via executive order. This abrupt shift in trade policy, coupled with weak fourth-quarter GDP data at 1.4%, bolstered gold's appeal as a hedge against risk and slowing growth.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
21
Feb
The S&P/TSX Composite index rose about 0.3% to surpass the 33,700 level for the first time on Friday, heading for weekly gains of more than 1.7%, after the US Supreme Court overturned President Trump’s global tariffs. The ruling triggered a surge in trade-related sectors, with Shopify shares jumping nearly 5% and Constellation Software shares adding more than 4%.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
20
Feb
The US dollar index rose to 98.07 points, its highest level in four weeks and the highest since January 2026. Despite this recent rise, the US Dollar Index remains down about 0.7% over the past four weeks. Year-to-date, the index has declined by 8.02% over the past twelve months, reflecting continued pressure on the US currency in the longer term despite the recent recovery.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
20
Feb
Gold maintains its positive bias above the $5,000 per ounce level for the third consecutive day, but upward momentum remains limited amid anticipation of important US economic data releases. Awaiting US data Traders prefer to wait for the preliminary reading of fourth-quarter GDP, as well as the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge. This data will be crucial in shaping expectations for the pace of interest rate cuts, which in turn will influence the movements of the US dollar and affect the performance of non-yielding gold. Geopolitical tensions are supporting gold. On the political front, US President Donald Trump warned Iran that it must reach an agreement on its nuclear program within 10 to 15 days, threatening severe consequences for non-compliance. For its part, Iran informed UN Secretary-General António Guterres that it does not seek war but will not tolerate any military aggression, asserting that any bases or assets of a hostile power in the region would be legitimate targets if attacked.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
20
Feb
Silver prices rose above $78.5 an ounce, continuing their gains as investors reassessed the direction of US policy, amid resilient economic data and escalating geopolitical risks.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
19
Feb
Gold recovered to the $5,000 per ounce level during Thursday's trading, supported by increased demand for safe havens amid escalating geopolitical tensions, despite the continued strength of the US dollar limiting the yellow metal's gains. The rise came as geopolitical risks persisted, with a new round of negotiations between Russia and Ukraine ending without conclusive results, along with escalating tensions with Iran amid reports of possible US military action, boosting demand for gold. In contrast, the strength of the dollar limited the gains, after the release of the Federal Reserve meeting minutes which showed a division among members regarding the timing of interest rate cuts, with some indicating the possibility of a cut if inflation slowed, while others warned against rushing into monetary easing. Strong US economic data, particularly in the industrial and manufacturing sectors, also supported the Federal Reserve's move to keep interest rates high for a longer period, boosting the dollar and putting pressure on gold. Markets are awaiting key economic data releases, including unemployment claims and manufacturing indicators, as well as the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index on Friday, which is a key measure of inflation at the Federal Reserve. 📊 Technically Gold is holding above the 100-hour moving average near $4956, which supports the short-term uptrend, but the fact that technical indicators remain neutral suggests that fluctuations may continue. 📌 Summary – Dar Al-Sabaik Gold is benefiting from geopolitical tensions and has recovered to the $5,000 level, but the strength of the dollar and the division within the Federal Reserve may limit the continuation of the rise in the near term, with US inflation data awaited to determine the next direction.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
18
Feb
According to JP Morgan's analysis, talk of a halt in gold's upward trend has theoretical justifications, but the supporting factors remain stronger so far. First: What supports the continuation of the upward trend? 1️⃣ Strong demand from central banks Since 2022, central bank purchases have doubled, especially after the freezing of Russian assets, as countries sought to diversify their reserves away from the dollar. China, in particular, still holds a relatively low percentage of gold in its reserves compared to developed countries, which means there is room for further purchases in the future. 2️⃣ Geopolitical tensions Gold has historically delivered a positive average return during major crises and outperforms other assets when risks escalate. 3️⃣ Hedging against inflation and currency weakness Gold is used as a hedge against currency erosion and long-term financial risks. 4️⃣ 2026 Predictions The bank's estimates indicate that central bank purchases will continue at a strong average level throughout 2026, reinforcing the long-term upward trend.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
17
Feb
Gold fell during Tuesday's trading session, falling below $5,000 an ounce, affected by lower trading volumes due to global market holidays. Geopolitical tensions and a decline in US Treasury yields limited the pace of the decline, with prices reaching $4,935 after hitting a near two-week low of $4,859, a daily drop of approximately 1.10 percent. The pressure stemmed from reduced liquidity due to the closure of China and several Asian markets for the Lunar New Year holiday, in addition to the Presidents' Day holiday in the United States. Despite this, gold did not experience a strong sell-off because the dollar index's recovery stalled near 97.12, and the yield on 10-year US Treasury bonds fell to 4.02 percent, its lowest level since late November. Tensions between the United States and Iran continued to support demand for gold as a safe haven, especially with the continuation of nuclear talks in Geneva and military exercises taking place in the Strait of Hormuz.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
17
Feb
Gold and silver futures prices fell as the dollar rose during Tuesday's trading, amid market anticipation of talks between Iran and the United States regarding Tehran's nuclear program, scheduled for today, after US President Donald Trump said that Tehran wants to reach an agreement. Gold futures for April delivery fell 2.75% or $139 to $4,907.30 an ounce. The spot price of gold fell by 2% to $4,889.9 per ounce, while its counterpart for silver lost about 3% to trade at $74.30 per ounce. Meanwhile, the dollar index, which measures the performance of the US currency against a basket of six major currencies, rose by 0.2% to trade at 97.09 points. Silver futures for March delivery fell 5.3% to $73.85 an ounce, while spot prices for platinum dropped about 2.15% to $2,001.52, and palladium fell 2.25% to $1,688.79. Representatives from Ukraine and Russia are scheduled to meet in Geneva on Tuesday and Wednesday for a new round of US-mediated peace talks, according to Reuters.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
14
Feb
تباطأ معدل التضخم السنوي في الولايات المتحدة إلى 2.4% في يناير 2026، مسجّلًا أدنى مستوى له منذ مايو، مقارنة بـ 2.7% في كل من الشهرين السابقين، وأقل من التوقعات التي أشارت إلى 2.5%.ويعكس هذا التباطؤ بشكل رئيسي تأثيرات الأساس، مع خروج قراءات مرتفعة من العام الماضي من الحساب السنوي. وعلى أساس شهري، ارتفع مؤشر أسعار المستهلكين (CPI) بنسبة 0.2%، مقارنة بـ 0.3% في ديسمبر، وأقل من التوقعات البالغة 0.3%.وسجّل مؤشر تكاليف السكن ارتفاعًا بنسبة 0.2%، ليكون العامل الأكبر في الزيادة الشهرية لمؤشر الأسعار العام.وفيما يتعلق بالتضخم الأساسي، تراجع معدل التضخم الأساسي السنوي إلى 2.5%، وهو أدنى مستوى له منذ مارس 2021، مقارنة بـ 2.6% في الشهر السابق، ومتوافقًا مع توقعات الأسواق. وعلى أساس شهري، ارتفع التضخم الأساسي بنسبة 0.3%، أعلى قليلًا من الزيادة المسجلة في ديسمبر والبالغة 0.2%.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
13
Feb
تراجعت أسعار الذهب بنحو 2.7% يوم الخميس، رغم انخفاض عوائد سندات الخزانة الأميركية وصدور بيانات قوية لسوق العمل، في ظل غياب محفز واضح يدعم الأسعار.وتداول المعدن النفيس قرب 4945 دولارًا للأونصة بعد أن لامس مستوى 5100 دولارات في وقت سابق من الجلسة، قبل أن يتعرض لضغوط بيعية حادة دفعته دون مستوى 4900 دولار.ضغوط متعددةجاء تراجع الذهب في ظل:قوة الدولار الأميركيتقليص توقعات خفض أسعار الفائدة في يوليوتراجع الطلب على الملاذات الآمنة مع انحسار التوترات الجيوسياسية، خاصة مع تنامي التفاؤل بشأن المحادثات المتعلقة بروسيا وإيرانكما دعمت تقارير تشير إلى نية روسيا استئناف تسوية بعض معاملاتها بالدولار الأميركي العملة الأميركية، ما زاد من الضغوط على الذهب.بيانات سوق العملأظهرت بيانات وزارة العمل الأميركية أن طلبات إعانة البطالة الأولية للأسبوع المنتهي في 7 فبراير ارتفعت إلى 227 ألف طلب، متجاوزة التوقعات البالغة 222 ألفًا، لكنها ظلت أقل من القراءة السابقة، مع استقرار المتوسط المتحرك لأربعة أسابيع عند نحو 219.5 ألف طلب.في المقابل، جاءت بيانات الوظائف غير الزراعية لشهر يناير قوية، إذ أضاف الاقتصاد الأميركي 130 ألف وظيفة، أي ما يقارب ضعف التوقعات البالغة 70 ألفًا، بينما تراجع معدل البطالة إلى 4.3% من 4.4%.تأثير السياسة النقديةعززت متانة سوق العمل توجه الاحتياطي الفيدرالي للإبقاء على أسعار الفائدة دون تغيير، وفقًا لما تعكسه تسعيرات الأسواق. كما قلصت الأسواق رهاناتها على خفض الفائدة في يونيو، مع ارتفاع احتمالات خفضها في اجتماع يوليو.وتشير بيانات الأسواق إلى تسعير نحو 30 نقطة أساس من التيسير النقدي بحلول اجتماع 29 يوليو.ورغم تراجع عوائد السندات الأميركية، فإن قوة الدولار وتقليص توقعات التيسير النقدي حدّا من جاذبية الذهب، الذي يتأثر عادة بتحركات العملة الأميركية وتوقعات أسعار الفائدة.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
13
Feb
تراجعت أسعار الفضة بنحو 10% لتتداول دون مستوى 76 دولارًا للأونصة، مواصلةً انعكاسًا حادًا في الاتجاه، مع موجة تسييل واسعة في الأسواق المالية دفعت المستثمرين إلى بيع المعادن النفيسة لتوفير السيولة.وجاء تسارع الهبوط رغم تراجع عوائد سندات الخزانة الأميركية إلى أدنى مستوياتها في عدة أشهر، ما يشير إلى أن التحرك كان مدفوعًا بدرجة أكبر بضغوط السيولة وتسارع فك المراكز الاستثمارية، عقب موجة صعود ممتدة شهدها المعدن مؤخرًا، وليس بإعادة تسعير توقعات أسعار الفائدة فقط.وامتدت الضغوط البيعية إلى سلع أخرى، حيث تكبد كل من الذهب والنحاس خسائر ملحوظة، في دلالة على وجود ضغوط عابرة للسلع داخل الأسواق العالمية.ورغم استمرار توقعات الأسواق بصدور بيانات تضخم أضعف، وتسعير احتمال خفض الاحتياطي الفيدرالي أسعار الفائدة مرتين خلال العام الجاري، فإن التدفقات الفورية كانت مدفوعة بعمليات خفض الرافعة المالية (Deleveraging).كما ساهمت الطبيعة المزدوجة للفضة، باعتبارها معدنًا نقديًا وصناعيًا في آن واحد، في تضخيم حدة التقلبات، خاصة في ظل المخاوف المتعلقة بتباطؤ النمو العالمي.وعلى الرغم من موجة الهبوط الحادة، لا تزال عوائد السندات المنخفضة والطلب التحوطي طويل الأجل المرتبط بحالة عدم اليقين المالي تشكلان عوامل دعم هيكلية للأسعار، بمجرد انحسار ضغوط البيع القسري.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
11
Feb
ارتفعت أسعار الذهب خلال تعاملات يوم الأربعاء، مدعومة بتراجع الدولار الأمريكي، حيث جرى تداول زوج قرب مستوى 5103 دولارات للأونصة، بارتفاع يقارب 1.45%، مع تركّز أنظار الأسواق على تقرير الوظائف الأمريكي (NFP) المؤجّل.ومن المقرر صدور تقرير أوضاع التوظيف لشهر يناير عند الساعة 13:30 بتوقيت غرينتش، بعد تأجيله بسبب الإغلاق الجزئي للحكومة الأمريكية. وتشير التوقعات إلى إضافة نحو 70 ألف وظيفة خلال يناير، مقارنة بـ 50 ألف وظيفة في ديسمبر. كما يُتوقع ارتفاع متوسط الأجور في الساعة بنسبة 0.3% على أساس شهري و3.6% على أساس سنوي، مع استقرار معدل البطالة عند 4.4%.وقد يمنح التقرير اتجاهًا جديدًا لأسعار الذهب؛ إذ إن أي مفاجأة سلبية في بيانات التوظيف أو الأجور ستعزز التوقعات باستئناف الاحتياطي الفيدرالي خفض أسعار الفائدة في وقت أقرب، ما قد يزيد الضغط على الدولار ويدعم المعدن الذي لا يدرّ عائدًا.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
10
Feb
تواجه الحكومة الأميركية خطر إغلاق جزئي جديد مع اقتراب نهاية الأسبوع الجاري، في ظل استمرار الخلافات بين الديمقراطيين والجمهوريين بشأن الإصلاحات المحتملة لممارسات تطبيق قوانين الهجرة التي أقرتها إدارة الرئيس دونالد ترامب.ويأتي هذا التطور بعد إغلاق جزئي سابق استمر من 31 يناير حتى 3 فبراير، وانتهى عقب توصل الحزبين إلى حزمة إنفاق مؤقتة وفرت تمويلًا لمدة أسبوعين لوزارة الأمن الداخلي، التي تشرف على وكالة الهجرة والجمارك الأميركية (ICE).ومن المقرر أن تنتهي صلاحية هذا التمويل المؤقت بنهاية الأسبوع، ما يعني أن توقف التمويل عن وزارة الأمن الداخلي قد يبدأ اعتبارًا من يوم السبت، في حال عدم التوصل إلى اتفاق جديد.ولا تزال المفاوضات متعثرة حتى الآن، إذ لم تُحرز أي تقدم ملموس بشأن الخلافات المتعلقة بممارسات وكالة الهجرة والجمارك، ما يزيد من احتمالات دخول الحكومة في إغلاق جزئي جديد.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
09
Feb
اتهم وزير الخزانة الأميركي سكوت بيسنت المتداولين في الصين بالوقوف وراء التقلبات الحادة التي شهدتها أسواق الذهب خلال الأسبوع الماضي، في أعقاب الارتفاعات القياسية التي سجلها المعدن النفيس.وفي مقابلة مع شبكة فوكس نيوز، قال بيسنت، ردًا على سؤال حول القفزة الكبيرة في أسعار المعادن النفيسة:«بالنسبة لتحركات الذهب، أصبحت الأمور مضطربة بعض الشيء في الصين، ما دفع الجهات المعنية إلى تشديد متطلبات الهامش، ويبدو أن ما نشهده هو تقلبات ذات طابع مضاربي حاد».وأشار وزير الخزانة الأميركي إلى أن هذه الإجراءات تعكس محاولات لاحتواء نشاطات المضاربة، في ظل الارتفاعات السريعة وغير المستقرة التي شهدها سوق الذهب مؤخرًا.وفي سياق منفصل، تطرق بيسنت إلى استقلالية الاحتياطي الفيدرالي، موضحًا أن كيفن وارش، مرشح الرئيس الأميركي لقيادة البنك المركزي خلفًا لـ جيروم باول، سيكون «مستقلًا للغاية»، لكنه في الوقت نفسه «سيدرك أن الاحتياطي الفيدرالي مسؤول أمام الشعب الأميركي».
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GOLD ALSABAEK
09
Feb
ارتفعت أسعار العقود الآجلة للذهب والفضة خلال تداولات يوم الإثنين، مع ترقب الأسواق صدور العديد من البيانات الاقتصادية الأمريكية المهمة في وقت لاحق من الأسبوع، وذلك لاستشراف آفاق السياسة النقدية.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
09
Feb
شهدت أسعار الذهب في الأسواق العالمية ارتفاعًا قويًا مع انطلاق تعاملات اليوم، حيث تجاوز سعر الأونصة مستوى 5000 دولار في التداولات المبكرة، مسجلًا مستوى قياسيًا غير مسبوق في تاريخ المعدن النفيس.وبحسب بيانات الأسواق، قفز سعر الذهب الفوري ليسجل نحو 5080 دولارًا للأونصة بعد افتتاح التداولات، في استمرار لمسار الصعود الذي يشهده المعدن الأصفر منذ نهاية العام الماضي، مدفوعًا بتزايد الإقبال على الملاذات الآمنة.العوامل الدافعة للارتفاع:تصاعد التوترات الجيوسياسية والاقتصادية عالميًا، ما عزز توجه المستثمرين نحو الذهب.تراجع الدولار الأميركي نسبيًا أمام سلة العملات الرئيسية، الأمر الذي زاد من جاذبية المعدن النفيس للمستثمرين الدوليين.استمرار الطلب القوي من المستثمرين وصناديق التحوط والبنوك المركزية على الذهب كأداة تحوط طويلة الأجل.السوق الآجلة والتوقعات:كما سجلت العقود الأميركية الآجلة للذهب ارتفاعًا ملحوظًا مع بداية التداولات، وسط توقعات بأن يواصل المعدن النفيس تماسكه عند مستويات مرتفعة خلال الفترة المقبلة، في حال استمرار العوامل الداعمة الحالية.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
06
Feb
قررت مجموعة «سي إم إي»، المشغّل لأكبر بورصة للسلع في العالم، رفع متطلبات هامش الضمان لعقود الذهب والفضة الآجلة للمرة الثالثة خلال فترة قصيرة، في خطوة تهدف إلى الحد من المخاطر الناتجة عن التقلبات السعرية الحادة، وضمان قدرة المستثمرين على تغطية مراكزهم المالية.وبموجب القرار، تم رفع هامش الضمان الأولي لعقود الذهب في بورصة «كومكس» إلى 9% بدلًا من 8%، كما تم رفع هامش الضمان لعقود الفضة إلى 18% مقارنة بـ 15% سابقًا، على أن تدخل التعديلات حيز التنفيذ بعد تسوية تداولات اليوم
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GOLD ALSABAEK
05
Feb
حافظت أسعار الفضة على تداولها فوق مستوى 89 دولارًا للأونصة يوم الأربعاء، بعدما قلّصت مكاسبها المبكرة، في وقت تقيّم فيه الأسواق البيانات الاقتصادية الأمريكية وتأثيرها المحتمل على توجهات السياسة النقدية للاحتياطي الفيدرالي، عقب ترشيح الرئيس دونالد ترامب لكيفن وورش لرئاسة البنك المركزي.ومع تأجيل صدور تقارير رئيسية عن سوق العمل هذا الأسبوع، انصبّ تركيز المستثمرين على بيانات القطاع الخاص، حيث أظهر تقرير ADP نموًا أضعف من المتوقع في الوظائف، ما عزز الرهانات على تباطؤ اقتصادي نسبي. في المقابل، جاء مؤشر ISM لقطاع الخدمات أقوى من التوقعات، مشيرًا إلى استمرار الزخم في النشاط الخدمي بالولايات المتحدة.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
05
Feb
سجّلت أسعار الذهب ارتفاعًا قويًا خلال تداولات يوم الأربعاء، لتخترق حاجز 5100 دولار للأونصة، مدفوعة بتزايد الإقبال على المعدن الأصفر كملاذ آمن، في ظل تصاعد التوترات الجيوسياسية بين الولايات المتحدة وإيران، وما صاحبها من حالة عدم يقين في الأسواق العالمية.وارتفعت العقود الآجلة للذهب تسليم أبريل بنسبة 3.5% أو ما يعادل 173.10 دولار، لتصل إلى 5108.10 دولار للأونصة، فيما صعد السعر الفوري للذهب بنسبة 2.7% ليسجل 5079.36 دولار للأونصة.وعلى صعيد المعادن الأخرى، قفزت أسعار الفضة بشكل لافت، حيث ارتفعت العقود الآجلة تسليم مارس بنسبة 5.35% إلى 87.76 دولار للأونصة، كما صعدت الأسعار الفورية للفضة بنحو 3.35% لتتداول قرب 88.01 دولار للأونصة، في إشارة إلى عودة الزخم القوي للمعادن الثمينة.في المقابل، تراجع مؤشر الدولار الأمريكي – الذي يقيس أداء العملة أمام سلة من ست عملات رئيسية – بنسبة طفيفة بلغت 0.1% ليستقر عند 97.34 نقطة، ما وفر دعمًا إضافيًا لأسعار الذهب والمعادن المقومة بالدولار.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
03
Feb
تشهد أسواق الذهب حالة من التقلبات الحادة خلال الفترة الأخيرة، إلا أن محللي بنك أوف أمريكا يرون أن العوامل الداعمة للمعدن النفيس لا تزال قوية بما يكفي لدفع أسعاره إلى تجاوز مستوى 6000 دولار للأونصة خلال الأشهر القليلة المقبلة، في واحدة من أكثر التوقعات جرأة في الأسواق العالمية.وقال مايكل ويدمر، المحلل الاستراتيجي لدى بنك أوف أمريكا، في مذكرة بحثية حديثة، إن البنك يدرك المخاوف المرتبطة بوتيرة الارتفاع المتوقعة في أسعار الذهب، إلا أن التجارب السابقة تشير إلى أن موجات الصعود الأخيرة لم تتوقف نتيجة التشبع الشرائي، بل بسبب تراجع مؤقت في العوامل التي عززت جاذبية المعادن النفيسة.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
02
Feb
سجّل مؤشر الدولار ارتفاعًا نحو مستوى 97.5 مع أولى جلسات التداول في شهر فبراير، وهو أعلى مستوى له منذ أكثر من أسبوع، مواصلًا مكاسبه التي تجاوزت 0.7% في الجلسة السابقة. ويأتي هذا الصعود بعد أداء سلبي للدولار خلال شهر يناير.وجاء الدعم الرئيسي للعملة الأمريكية عقب إعلان الرئيس الأمريكي دونالد ترامب ترشيح كيفن وورش لرئاسة مجلس الاحتياطي الفيدرالي، ما أثار حالة من عدم اليقين بشأن مستقبل السياسة النقدية. وتنظر الأسواق إلى وورش على أنه مرشح أكثر تشددًا، يُرجّح أن يدعم خفض أسعار الفائدة بوتيرة أبطأ مقارنة بمرشحين آخرين محتملين.كما يُتوقع أن يعمل وورش على تقليص الميزانية العمومية للفيدرالي، وهي خطوة من شأنها تقليص السيولة في الأسواق، ما يدعم الدولار عادةً.إلى جانب ذلك، تلقى الدولار دعمًا إضافيًا من بيانات اقتصادية أمريكية قوية، حيث ارتفع مؤشر معهد إدارة التوريد (ISM) لقطاع التصنيع بشكل غير متوقع إلى أعلى مستوياته منذ عام 2022 خلال شهر يناير.وعلى صعيد العملات، حقق الدولار مكاسب أمام الين الياباني، كما ارتفع مقابل الفرنك السويسري والدولار الكندي واليورو، في ظل تزايد إقبال المستثمرين على العملة الأمريكية.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
31
Jan
قال الرئيس الأميركي دونالد ترامب إنه سيكشف صباح اليوم الجمعة عن مرشحه الجديد لرئاسة مجلس الاحتياطي الفيدرالي، مؤكداً أنه اختار «شخصاً بارزاً ومحترماً ومعروفاً في الأوساط المالية».ويأتي الإعلان المرتقب في وقت يواصل فيه ترامب الضغط على البنك المركزي الأميركي لخفض أسعار الفائدة بوتيرة أسرع، منتقداً النهج الحذر الذي يتبعه الرئيس الحالي للاحتياطي الفيدرالي جيروم باول.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
30
Jan
تشهد أسواق الذهب العالمية حاليًا حالة من التقلبات الحادة وغير المسبوقة، حيث انخفضت أسعار الذهب بنحو 500 دولار للأونصة بعد أن كانت قد تجاوزت مستوى 5,600 دولار للأونصة. ويعكس هذا التراجع السريع حدة التحركات السعرية خلال فترة زمنية قصيرة، في ظل موجات من المضاربات وجني الأرباح، وليس نتيجة مسار هبوطي تدريجي.وفي ظل هذه التقلبات العنيفة، قامت مجموعة CME (بورصة شيكاغو التجارية) برفع متطلبات الهامش على عقود الذهب الآجلة، في خطوة تهدف إلى الحد من المخاطر الناتجة عن التذبذب المرتفع في الأسعار، وتعزيز حماية المشاركين في السوق من الخسائر المحتملة.عادةً ما تؤدي مثل هذه التحركات القوية في الأسواق إلى إجراءات تنظيمية مؤقتة، تشمل تشديد شروط التداول أو فرض قيود مرحلية، وذلك لضمان استقرار السوق والحفاظ على كفاءة إدارة المخاطر. وتُعد هذه الإجراءات شائعة في فترات عدم اليقين المرتفع، لا سيما في أسواق السلع التي تتأثر بشكل مباشر بالتطورات الاقتصادية والجيوسياسية.وفي الختام، تعكس هذه التطورات حالة من القلق والترقب في الأسواق العالمية، مما يستدعي من المستثمرين توخي الحذر، ومتابعة المستجدات التنظيمية وتحركات الأسعار عن كثب خلال المرحلة المقبلة.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
28
Jan
Analysts at Citigroup Bank predicted that the price of silver would continue its strong upward trend, suggesting that the spot price of the white metal would reach a record high of $150 an ounce within the next three months, given the continued strong buying momentum and the worsening supply shortage in global markets. The bank's analysts explained in a note released on Tuesday that investment demand, particularly from the Chinese market, remains the main driver of rising prices, along with declining investments in silver-backed exchange-traded funds, which reduces the quantities available for trading and increases upward pressure. The report noted that the recent surge was exceptional, with the price of silver jumping by about 50% in one month, reflecting significant speculative activity in the futures markets, as well as the growing demand for silver as a hedge asset amid escalating geopolitical and economic risks. Citigroup analysts added that continued price increases are necessary to push current silver holders to sell, which would help alleviate the shortage of supply in the physical market, stressing that silver's price behavior has become more robust and active compared to gold, and this relative superiority is likely to continue in the coming period. The report noted that silver could see further gains if the gold-to-silver price ratio returns to the historically low levels recorded in 2011, at 32 to 1, a scenario that could push the price of silver to around $170 an ounce. This assessment reflects an optimistic outlook for silver’s near-term prospects, at a time when investors’ appetite for tangible assets and safe havens is growing, amid a global environment characterized by uncertainty and high levels of volatility in financial markets.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
28
Jan
Deutsche Bank expects gold prices to rise to $6,000 an ounce this year, as investors continue to diversify their portfolios away from US assets amid rising global economic and geopolitical uncertainty. Analysts at the German bank said in a note reported by Reuters that there are alternative scenarios that could push gold prices to higher levels, noting that an ounce reaching around $6,900 might be more consistent with the strong performance the yellow metal has seen over the past two years.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
25
Jan
US President Donald Trump said on Saturday that he would impose 100 percent tariffs on all Canadian imports if Canada made a trade deal with China. Trump wrote on Truth Social, "If Governor Carney thinks he's going to make Canada a 'dock house' for Chinese goods and products destined for the United States, he's totally wrong... China will eat Canada alive, and will devour it completely, including destroying its businesses, social fabric, and public way of life." If Canada makes a deal with China, it will immediately be subject to 100 percent tariffs on all Canadian goods and products imported into the United States.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
25
Jan
Gold prices rose on Friday, January 23, 2026, with the spot price of bullion climbing to $4,988 per ounce, while futures contracts hit a record high of $4,989.54 per ounce. Silver also reached a new peak, surpassing $101 per ounce. This strong rise was driven by several key factors, most notably the following: Central bank policies: Interest rate cuts support gold. Markets are pricing in at least two interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve during 2026, which has reduced the opportunity cost of holding gold and boosted its investment appeal amid a weakening US dollar. The latest US employment data also came in weaker than expected, with only 50,000 jobs added in December compared to expectations of 66,000, which strengthened bets on monetary easing and supported the rise in gold.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
23
Jan
Silver prices hit a new record high of $98.50 an ounce as investors reassessed the strength of US economic growth and signs that inflationary pressures remained under control. This came at a time when the upward revision of US GDP growth estimates for the third quarter to 4.4 percent reinforced the view that the economy remains strong, reducing the need for near-term monetary easing. However, recent inflation data indicated a continued gradual slowdown without a return to excessive price increases, which helped stabilize expectations for future monetary policy.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
23
Jan
Gold continued its upward trend for the fourth consecutive day, reaching a new record high above $4,900 an ounce, despite improved risk appetite in global markets and easing tensions between the United States and Europe. It reached a high of $4,916 an ounce and is currently trading near $4,915, reflecting a daily gain of approximately 1.6%. This performance reflects continued demand for gold as a safe haven amid uncertainty surrounding global economic and trade policies, despite the positive market sentiment following talks between US President Donald Trump and the NATO Secretary General.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
21
Jan
Gold continued its record-breaking run for the third consecutive day, surpassing $4,850 an ounce on Wednesday, amid escalating geopolitical tensions and fears of a trade war, which boosted demand for the precious metal as a safe haven. This surge was primarily driven by the deepening disputes surrounding Greenland, coupled with a weakening US dollar and increased volatility in global markets. During his participation in the World Economic Forum in Davos, US President Donald Trump reaffirmed his commitment to his plan to acquire Greenland, asserting that the island is of strategic importance to US national security in the Arctic region. In response, Greenland's Prime Minister urged citizens to prepare for a possible military move, although he maintained that such a scenario remained unlikely. This contributed to increased market anxiety and drove investors toward safe-haven assets.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
21
Jan
Gold hit a new record high on Tuesday, surpassing the psychological barrier of $4,750 an ounce, driven by escalating geopolitical tensions that boosted demand for safe-haven assets. At the time of writing, gold was trading near $4,765, just below its new all-time high of $4,766.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
21
Jan
The euro continued its gains above $1.17, hitting its highest level since January 6, as investors welcomed better-than-expected German economic data, while geopolitical tensions continued to weigh on the US dollar. Germany's ZEW investor confidence index jumped to 59.6 points in January, its highest level since July 2021, exceeding expectations of 50 points. This reflects optimism about an economic recovery by 2026 despite the uncertainty surrounding US trade policy. Meanwhile, the dollar weakened after US President Donald Trump renewed his threats to impose 10% tariffs on several European countries to pressure Denmark into selling Greenland to the United States.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
21
Jan
Gold and silver prices rose to new record highs as investors sought safe-haven assets amid escalating geopolitical tensions, following US President Donald Trump's threat to impose additional tariffs on European countries over the Greenland dispute. During trading on Tuesday, gold futures for February delivery rose 2.65%, or $121.10, to $4,716.50 an ounce, after touching $4,723.40, the highest level ever for the most active futures contract.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
21
Jan
Gold continued to set new historic highs on Tuesday, supported by strong demand for safe havens, rising for the second day in a row and surpassing the $4,700 per ounce level, recording its highest price ever during the Asian trading session. The ongoing war between Russia and Ukraine continues to pose geopolitical risks, offsetting the easing of internal unrest in Iran, which has reduced the likelihood of US military intervention. Furthermore, growing fears of a trade war between the US and Europe, coupled with escalating tensions over Greenland, have weighed on investor sentiment and bolstered demand for gold as a safe haven.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
20
Jan
Setting a new record high, investors flocked to safe-haven assets following President Trump's announcement of new tariffs on European countries on Saturday. Trump said he would impose a 10% tariff on goods from eight European countries starting February 1, and that it could rise to 25% in June if no agreement was reached on what he called the "full and final purchase of Greenland." This announcement sparked concern across Europe, and European leaders are expected to hold an emergency meeting in the coming days to discuss possible retaliatory measures, including tariffs on €93 billion worth of US goods. Gold has continued its strong rally this year after a stellar performance in 2025, supported by safe-haven flows amid geopolitical tensions in Venezuela and Iran, along with renewed concerns about the independence of the Federal Reserve.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
20
Jan
The gold market continues to attract significant attention as investors seek to hedge against geopolitical uncertainty. The precious metal may maintain its strong upward trend, given that global economic leaders have identified geo-economic confrontation as the biggest risk facing the world this year, followed by conflicts between states, extreme weather events, societal polarization, and disinformation, according to the latest report from the World Economic Forum. The World Economic Forum begins its annual conference on Monday, bringing together business and political leaders in Davos, Switzerland. Ahead of the conference, the forum released its Global Risks Report 2026, reflecting deep concerns among leaders and experts. This global economic conference comes just days after US President Donald Trump launched a new round of escalation in his ongoing global trade war. In a social media post, Trump reignited tensions with Europe, threatening to impose tariffs of 10%, potentially rising to 25%, on Denmark, Norway, Sweden, France, Germany, the United Kingdom, the Netherlands, and Finland, in an attempt to pressure them into supporting his bid to annex Greenland. Following these threats, members of the European Parliament announced that they would freeze ratification of the trade agreement reached last summer between Trump and Ursula von der Leyen, the president of the European Commission. According to a survey conducted by the World Economic Forum, geopolitical and economic uncertainty is expected to remain a key element of the global economy. The Global Risks Report indicated that nearly 50% of surveyed forum members anticipate a turbulent or stormy world over the next two years, a 14-percentage-point increase from last year. Another 40% expect conditions to be at least unstable, while 9% anticipate stability and only 1% expect calm. Over the next ten years, 57% expect a turbulent or stormy world, 32% unstable conditions, 10% stable conditions, and only 1% calm conditions. Børge Brende, President and CEO of the World Economic Forum, said: “A new competitive system is taking shape as major powers seek to secure their spheres of influence. This changing landscape, where cooperation looks different than it did before, reflects the practical reality that cooperative approaches and a spirit of dialogue remain essential.” He added: "Our annual meeting in Davos will be a vital platform for understanding risks and opportunities and building the necessary bridges to deal with them." This uncertainty is one of the key factors explaining why many commodity analysts predict gold prices will reach $5,000 an ounce and perhaps even surpass it during the first half of the year. The precious metal started the year strongly, with spot gold trading at $4,671.40 an ounce, up 1.6% on the day.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
19
Jan
The gold market continues to attract significant attention as investors seek to hedge against geopolitical uncertainty. The precious metal may maintain its strong upward trend, given that global economic leaders have identified geo-economic confrontation as the biggest risk facing the world this year, followed by conflicts between states, extreme weather events, societal polarization, and disinformation, according to the latest report from the World Economic Forum.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
19
Jan
Gold pared some of its gains during the day to around $4,700, a new record high, but any significant correction seems unlikely given the supportive economic environment. US President Donald Trump threatened to impose new tariffs on eight European countries that opposed his plan to annex Greenland. This announcement drew sharp criticism from European officials and raised concerns about a wider transatlantic trade dispute. This comes alongside escalating geopolitical risks.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
19
Jan
Gold and silver prices rose to new record highs as investors flocked to safe-haven assets amid escalating geopolitical tensions, following US President Donald Trump's threat to impose additional tariffs on European countries over the Greenland dispute. During trading on Monday, gold futures for February delivery rose 1.75% or $80.60 to $4,676 an ounce, after touching $4,698, the highest level ever for the most active futures contract. Silver futures for March delivery also rose 5.3% to $93.24 an ounce, after touching $94.365, an all-time high. The spot price of gold rose 1.6% to $4,669.15 an ounce, after hitting a record high of $4,689.39 earlier in the session, while its counterpart for silver added about 3.5% to $93.29 an ounce, after hitting an all-time high above $94. Meanwhile, the dollar index, which measures the performance of the US currency against a basket of six major currencies, fell by 0.25% to 99.16 points. While spot platinum prices added 0.3% to $2,347.89, its palladium counterpart lost about 0.5% to trade at $1,794.3. European Union diplomats said that the bloc's ambassadors reached a preliminary agreement on Sunday to intensify efforts to dissuade Trump from imposing tariffs on European allies, while preparing to take retaliatory measures if such tariffs are imposed, according to Reuters.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
19
Jan
US futures fell amid Trump's threat to impose tariffs US stock futures fell on Monday after President Donald Trump threatened new tariffs on eight European countries to force them to "buy up Greenland outright." The proposed measures target Germany, the United Kingdom, France, Denmark, Norway, Sweden, the Netherlands, and Finland, with a 10% tariff scheduled to take effect on February 1st and rising to 25% in June unless an agreement is reached.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
19
Jan
Precious metal prices surged, with gold reaching $4,690 per ounce and silver climbing to $93 per ounce, fueled by increased demand for safe havens and heightened volatility in global markets. This rise reflects a strong resurgence in investment demand for precious metals amid escalating uncertainty, as investors seek to hedge against risk and risk appetite wanes in financial markets.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
18
Jan
US President Donald Trump vowed on Saturday to impose a wave of escalating tariffs on European allies until Washington is allowed to buy Greenland, in an escalation of the dispute over the future of the sprawling Arctic island belonging to the Kingdom of Denmark. In a post on Truth Social, Trump said that tariffs of 10 percent would take effect on February 1 on Denmark, Norway, Sweden, France, Germany, Britain, the Netherlands and Finland. He added that the fees would rise to 25 percent on June 1 and would continue until an agreement is reached allowing the United States to purchase Greenland. Trump has repeatedly stressed the vital importance of Greenland to US security due to its strategic location and abundant mineral resources, and has not ruled out the use of military force to control it. In recent days, European countries have sent limited numbers of military personnel to the island at Denmark's request. Trump wrote: "These countries, which are playing this dangerous game, have put themselves in a position that cannot be sustained or tolerated." He added, "America is immediately open to negotiating with Denmark and/or any of these countries that pose so many risks despite all that we have provided them, including providing the highest levels of protection, over many decades." Thousands of people demonstrated across Denmark and Greenland on Saturday to protest Trump's demand to annex the island, calling for respect for the right of its inhabitants to self-determination. Several EU countries supported Denmark's position, warning that a US military takeover of NATO territory could lead to the collapse of the Washington-led alliance. Britain also expressed its support for Denmark's position.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
17
Jan
US President Donald Trump has threatened to impose tariffs on countries that oppose his efforts to annex Greenland to the United States. "We need Greenland for national security, so I might do that," Trump said in remarks from the White House on Friday. Trump's remarks come after a meeting of officials from Denmark, the United States and Greenland at the White House this week to discuss the issue of annexing the island, but it did not lead to any concrete results.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
16
Jan
Continuing the losses from the previous session, demand for safe havens declined and expectations of a near-term interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve faded. Geopolitical tensions surrounding Iran have eased after President Donald Trump reiterated that he may postpone any military action, citing signs of a waning crackdown on protests and the absence of widespread executions. Meanwhile, strong US economic data reinforced the view that monetary policy will remain restrictive for longer, prompting investors to reduce their bets on an imminent interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve. Markets now widely expect interest rates to remain unchanged later this month, with the next full-scale easing delayed until mid-2026. Despite this decline, gold remains close to record levels and is still poised for weekly gains, supported by its strong performance earlier in the week.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
16
Jan
Citigroup expects gold prices to surpass $5,000 an ounce in the first quarter of the year, with silver reaching $100 an ounce. However, while silver and other industrial metals are likely to continue outperforming, gold prices could see a significant decline later in 2026 as global tensions subside. Strategists led by Kenny Ho raised their forecast for the price of gold over the next three months to $5,000 an ounce and the price of silver to $100 an ounce on Tuesday, as the Wall Street firm expects the precious metals bull market to continue until early 2026. Analysts cited "increasing geopolitical risks, continued supply shortages in the market, and renewed uncertainty about the independence of the Federal Reserve" as reasons for raising expectations. While both metals hit new record highs in the new year, Citi reaffirmed its prediction that silver would outperform gold, with expectations that base metals would ultimately capture the most attention. The strategists wrote: "Our long-term predictions of silver's superiority and the expansion of the precious metals market to include industrial metals, with industrial metals taking center stage during the same period, have proven successful." Analysts also pointed to continued tight supply in the physical market, particularly in silver and platinum group metals, explaining that delays and uncertainty surrounding upcoming Section 232 tariff decisions for critical metals pose “significant dual risks to trade flows and prices.” Citi warned that if high tariffs are imposed, the shortage of physical metals could worsen, potentially leading to sharp price increases as shipments of metals to the United States rise. However, once the tariffs become clear, these metal stockpiles are likely to return to overseas markets, easing the physical supply shortage in the rest of the world and putting downward pressure on prices. Strategic analysts warned that “the collapse in silver prices as a result of capital outflows driven by S232 could lead to tactical selling in other precious metals and base metals markets,” but stressed that they “will view this as a buying opportunity when prices are low in a rising market,” because the factors driving the rise in metal prices are still in place. Citi's updated forecast assumes geopolitical tensions will subside after the first quarter, leading to lower demand for precious metals later this year, with gold being the most vulnerable to a downward correction. However, the bank still expects industrial metals, particularly aluminum and copper, to perform well in the second half of 2026.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
13
Jan
The price of silver rose above $88 an ounce for the first time on Tuesday, after US inflation data indicated easing price pressures and reduced the risk of near-term monetary policy tightening. The headline consumer price index for December held steady at 2.7%, while the core index remained at 2.6%, its lowest level since 2021, with a slight decrease in the monthly core index reading, which came in below expectations and eased concerns about inflation continuing to accelerate. This inflationary signal boosted demand for precious metals, as investors anticipated that the accommodative monetary policy would continue for a longer period. The buying spree was further fueled by safe-haven flows triggered by news of the US Justice Department's investigation into Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell and President Trump's announcement of a 25% tariff on countries doing trade with Iran.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
13
Jan
The annual inflation rate in the United States remained stable at 2.7% in December 2025, the same level as in November, and in line with market expectations. The energy index rose by 2.3%, and the food index by 3.1%. Meanwhile, the core annual rate remained at 2.6%, its lowest level since 2021, compared to expectations of a rise to 2.7%. Compared to the previous month, the consumer price index rose by 0.3%, as expected, with housing costs being the largest contributor to the monthly increase across all categories.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
13
Jan
President Donald Trump warned of "total chaos" if the Supreme Court overturns the tariffs imposed by his administration, highlighting the risks involved in the anticipated decision on Wednesday and the serious challenges that would follow if companies were able to claim a refund of the tariffs they paid. In a post on Truth Social reflecting his concern about the repercussions of the impending decision, the president wrote: “The actual amounts we will have to pay, if the Supreme Court rules against the United States regarding tariffs for any reason, will amount to hundreds of billions of dollars.” Trump explained that when adding the amounts that countries and companies will demand as compensation for what they have invested in building factories and facilities and providing equipment to avoid paying those tariffs, the figure could reach trillions of dollars, warning that this “utter chaos” will be impossible for the United States to pay for. He added: “Anyone who claims that this can be done quickly and easily is giving a wrong or inaccurate answer, or is based on a complete misunderstanding of this complex issue.” He concluded his post by saying: “If the Supreme Court rules against the United States on these enormous national security gains, we will be in real trouble.” These statements come at a time when companies and a group of states are challenging the "blanket tariffs" first announced by Trump in April 2025, claiming that the president exceeded his authority by imposing these additional duties on the country's imports. If the administration loses the case, the government may have to return billions of dollars that it has already collected.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
13
Jan
The annual inflation rate in the United States likely settled at 2.7% in December 2025, while the core rate probably rose slightly to 2.7% from 2.6% in November, its lowest level since early 2021. On a monthly basis, the headline Consumer Price Index is expected to rise by 0.3%, with the core Consumer Price Index also expected to rise by 0.3%, mainly driven by higher commodity prices. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) did not release November data on a monthly basis, as it was unable to collect data during the government shutdown.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
13
Jan
Gold and silver futures prices declined amid profit-taking by investors to capitalize on previous gains, given the record highs recorded. During Tuesday's trading, gold futures for February delivery fell by 0.35% or $16.40 to $4598.30 per ounce. While the spot price of gold fell by 0.2% to $4,589.41 an ounce, its counterpart for silver rose by about 0.25% to $85.31 an ounce. Meanwhile, the dollar index, which measures the performance of the US currency against a basket of six major currencies, rose by 0.15% to 99 points. Silver futures for March delivery also fell by 0.25% to $84.88 an ounce, while spot prices for platinum dropped by about 0.85% to $2,321.66, and palladium by 1.8% to $1,824.64. Citibank raised its price targets for gold and silver over the next three months to $5,000 and $100 per ounce respectively, citing strong investment momentum and its expectation that factors supporting higher prices would continue during the first quarter of the year, according to Reuters.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
12
Jan
Metals surged to new record highs, fueled by concerns over the independence of the US Federal Reserve and escalating geopolitical risks, boosting demand for safe-haven assets. US federal prosecutors have opened a criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell over his testimony before the Senate Banking Committee last June, in which Powell accused the Trump administration of pressuring the central bank to align with its political agenda. Markets also monitored expectations of further US interest rate cuts after Friday's jobs report showed that December's job growth fell short of forecasts. Traders still anticipate two rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this year, despite widespread expectations that the central bank will leave its monetary policy unchanged later this month. Meanwhile, geopolitical tensions remained high as protests intensified in Iran, raising the risk of a wider conflict, with reports indicating that US President Donald Trump is considering options for potential intervention.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
12
Jan
Gold hit a new record high of $4,600 an ounce, driven by concerns about the Federal Reserve's independence and escalating geopolitical risks, which boosted demand for safe-haven assets. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell revealed on Sunday that he had received threats of criminal charges over his testimony before the Senate last June, criticizing the move as part of Trump's pressure on the Fed to lower interest rates. Meanwhile, the speaker of Iran’s parliament warned the United States and Israel against any interference after President Trump threatened to launch strikes amid widespread protests in Iran that have reportedly left hundreds dead. Additional support came from expectations of further US interest rate cuts after data on Friday showed job growth in December slowed more than expected. Traders are anticipating two interest rate cuts this year, despite widespread expectations that the Federal Reserve will leave rates unchanged later this month. Markets are now focused on this week's US inflation report for further clues about the Fed's future interest rate path.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
12
Jan
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell announced that he is under criminal investigation by federal prosecutors regarding the renovation project at the central bank's headquarters in Washington, D.C., saying that Trump's frustration over his refusal to cut interest rates is the reason behind the move. "On Friday, the Justice Department served grand jury subpoenas to the Federal Reserve," Powell said in a statement released early Monday morning. He added that the ministry threatened to bring criminal charges against him in connection with his testimony before the Senate Banking Committee last June, which addressed – in part – a multi-year project to renovate historic Federal Reserve buildings. He added: "I have deep respect for the rule of law and the principle of accountability in our democracy, and no one is above the law, but this unprecedented action should be viewed in a broader context, namely the administration's threats and ongoing pressure."
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GOLD ALSABAEK
12
Jan
Gold prices settled at around $4,200 an ounce on Friday, nearing their highest levels since late October and ending a previous rally, as a series of US data reinforced the likelihood of an interest rate cut soon by the Federal Reserve. September’s delayed personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index rose 0.3% month-on-month and 2.8% year-on-year, while the core PCE price index fell to 2.8% from 2.9%, due to steady goods prices and slowing services inflation, indicating easing underlying pressures. Preliminary survey results for Michigan showed a slight improvement to 53.3 points, with one-year inflation expectations falling to 4.1% and five-year inflation expectations dropping to 3.2%, reinforcing the view that near-term price pressures are easing. These signals, along with the surprise drop in private sector jobs by 32,000 reported by ADP and Challenger's announcement of 71,321 layoffs, have led markets to price in an approximately 87% probability of a 25-basis-point interest rate cut, prompting adjustments in attitudes that have boosted the price of gold.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
11
Jan
Gold prices closed last week's trading at $4,510 an ounce, confirming its strong performance as a global safe haven after achieving weekly gains of more than 4 percent in one of the strongest weeks since the beginning of the year.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
10
Jan
The second full week of the year will see a continuation of important economic data releases from major economies, and the start of the earnings season for the largest US banks.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
10
Jan
It pared its early losses, as weak US labor market data reinforced expectations of an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve this year.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
10
Jan
The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note initially rose above 4.2% before falling back to around 4.18% on Friday, after traders digested a mixed jobs report that reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve would take a cautious approach to cutting interest rates.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
10
Jan
The US economy added fewer jobs than expected in December, with the unemployment rate falling, indicating continued resilience in the US labor market.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
07
Jan
The market value of silver briefly reached approximately $4.65 trillion during Wednesday's trading, with prices rising by about 11% since the beginning of the year, amid strong industrial demand and expectations of monetary easing in the United States.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
05
Jan
Gold is trading with an upward bias at the start of the first full trading week of 2026.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
04
Jan
This continues its strong upward trajectory, marking its best year ever. The precious metal surged 148% last year.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
27
Dec
Gold is the ideal choice in the commodities market over the next year, especially if individual investors join central banks in diversifying their investment portfolios.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
24
Dec
Gold prices rose to a new record high during early European trading on Tuesday morning.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
18
Dec
Gold futures prices fell ahead of the release of US inflation data.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
18
Dec
US President Donald Trump spoke about his anticipated appointment of a new chairman for the Federal Reserve.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
17
Dec
Gold prices rose and silver hit a new record high, as the market awaited US inflation data this week.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
16
Dec
Oil prices fell during Tuesday's trading, deepening the losses recorded in the previous session.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
15
Dec
Gold prices rose in the first session of the week, which will see the release of important economic data on the US labor market.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
13
Dec
Gold continues its upward trend for the fourth consecutive day, surpassing the $4,300 mark and recording its highest level since October 21 during the first half of the European trading session on Friday.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
09
Dec
US President Donald Trump believes that Mexico treats American farmers unfairly, and has threatened to raise tariffs on imports from the country.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
03
Dec
Gold struggled to capitalize on a slight intraday gain, falling to its lowest daily level as the European session began on Wednesday.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
02
Dec
U.S. stock futures dipped slightly on Tuesday after Wall Street declined on the first trading day of December, following gains in the previous five sessions.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
02
Dec
Silver prices fell by more than 1% to $57 an ounce on Tuesday, as investors took profits after hitting a record high.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
01
Dec
The euro rebounded above US$1.16, hitting its strongest level since mid-November, as investors remained cautious ahead of key economic data from the eurozone and the United States that could affect interest rate expectations.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
01
Dec
Gold prices rose on Monday as investors shunned risky assets and sought safe havens amid growing expectations of a US interest rate cut.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
29
Nov
As U.S. federal agencies continue to manage their publication schedules following the government shutdown, investors are awaiting delays in official releases and new private surveys.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
29
Nov
Gold prices surpassed $4,225 an ounce on Friday, hitting a one-month high and on track for their fourth consecutive monthly gain, as markets anticipate a higher probability of an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December. Dovish comments from several Fed officials, coupled with weak economic data, have bolstered expectations of monetary easing.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
24
Nov
Gold futures prices fell as the dollar held near six-month highs, while investors awaited further clarity on the path of US interest rates. During trading on Monday, gold futures for December delivery fell by 0.65% or $27 to $4,052.50 an ounce.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
22
Nov
The shortened Thanksgiving week in the United States is likely to see official agencies continue announcing new release dates for data delayed due to the federal government shutdown. Producer prices, retail sales, and durable goods orders for September will be among the confirmed U.S. releases. Key housing price aggregates and regional economic surveys will also be published. Meanwhile, UK Chancellor Reeves will release the long-awaited autumn budget. Elsewhere in Europe, the eurozone’s largest economies are set to announce their November inflation figures and leading indicators measuring business and consumer confidence. Inflation rates in Australia, Brazil, Mexico, Singapore, and Japan will also be monitored through the Tokyo Consumer Price Index. Meanwhile, Canada and India will update their GDP figures, and the Reserve Bank of New Zealand will set its interest rate.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
22
Nov
Gold pared its losses to around $4,060 an ounce on Friday, but remained on track for a weekly decline as markets absorbed stronger U.S. jobs data, dovish central bank signals, and falling U.S. bond yields. A delayed Labor Department report showed nonfarm payrolls rose by 119,000 jobs in September and the unemployment rate climbed to 4.4%, initially reducing the likelihood of an immediate interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve and pushing the dollar higher.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
21
Nov
Gold futures prices fell after a stronger-than-expected US jobs report reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve would refrain from cutting interest rates at its December meeting. During trading on Friday, gold futures for December delivery fell by 0.5% or $19.70 to $4040.30 an ounce. The spot price of gold fell by 0.85% to $4,043.15 an ounce, while its counterpart for silver dropped by more than 3% to $49.02 an ounce. Meanwhile, the dollar index, which measures the performance of the US currency against a basket of six major currencies, fell slightly by 0.1% to 100.04 points. Silver futures for December delivery fell 2.75% to $49.56 an ounce, while spot prices for platinum lost about 0.45% to $1,511.84, and palladium fell 0.6% to $1,372.59. According to the FedWatch tool, expectations of a 25 basis point interest rate cut during the Federal Reserve meeting in December have fallen to 35.4% from 98.1% a month earlier, while expectations of holding monetary policy steady have risen to a probability of 64.6% from 1.7%.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
20
Nov
Oil prices rose during trading on Thursday, amid optimism about the demand outlook in the United States following a larger-than-expected drop in US crude inventories last week. Brent crude futures for January 2026 delivery rose 0.25% or 16 cents to $63.67 a barrel. Nymex crude futures for December delivery rose 0.35% or 22 cents to $59.66 a barrel. Both benchmark crude oils recovered slightly after falling more than 2% in Wednesday's session, following a Reuters report that the United States had informed Ukraine that it accepted a proposed framework to end the war with Russia that included relinquishing territory and some weapons, according to two sources familiar with the talks. The U.S. Energy Information Administration reported that crude oil inventories fell by 3.4 million barrels in the week ending November 14, compared with expectations of a 603,000-barrel decline. Gains in prices were limited by a rise in gasoline and distillate inventories for the first time in more than a month.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
20
Nov
Gold attracted some sellers after rising to $4,110 during the day, moving away from its highest level in a week reached the previous day. The US dollar continued to be bought amid receding expectations of another interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December, which is expected to negatively impact the non-yielding precious metal. Furthermore, the prevailing optimism in global equity markets is another factor weakening demand for safe-haven assets. The aforementioned background suggests that the path of least resistance for gold is downward. However, traders may choose to wait for the release of the September US non-farm payrolls report before forming new predictions regarding the direction of the gold pair. Furthermore, concerns about weakening economic momentum, stemming from the longest US government shutdown on record, could limit deeper losses for the precious metal.
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GOLD ALSABAEK
20
Nov
Gold edged higher on Wednesday as risk aversion in global markets boosted demand for safe-haven assets. At the time of writing, gold was trading around $4,113, up nearly 1%, continuing its recovery after briefly dipping below $4,000 on Tuesday.Global stocks remain under pressure amid concerns about overvalued valuations of technology companies, keeping investors on the defensive ahead of Nvidia's earnings announcement. Sentiment is also cautious ahead of the release of the Federal Open Market Committee meeting minutes later today, as markets brace for the delayed September non-farm payrolls report due on Thursday. Meanwhile, the risk-averse atmosphere is helping gold maintain its upward momentum.However, growing doubts among Federal Reserve officials about cutting interest rates again in December are casting a shadow over monetary policy expectations.
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